Spectre Brands

Dot-com & internet

The bubble of 1995–2001 funded businesses that had never earned a dollar of profit, and a few that never would. Some of the ideas were right and a decade early. Others outlived the crash and are still here, much smaller than they were.

7 post-mortems · 3 dead · 4 ghosts

Webvan: Two trucks, two liveries: the earlier round grocery-bag logo on the right and the later W on the left. The photographer’s caption calls Webvan defunct; the picture was posted in 2005.
Webvan. Two trucks, two liveries: the earlier round grocery-bag logo on the right and the later W on the left. The photographer’s caption calls Webvan defunct; the picture was posted in 2005.

Post-mortems in Dot-com & internet

Pets.com

1998 – 2000

Dead
Unit economics
270 days from IPO to wind-down

The most famous mascot of the dot-com era, Amazon as its biggest shareholder, and a Super Bowl ad. It never sold a quarter’s goods for more than they cost to deliver.

Webvan

1996 – 2001

Dead
Overexpansion
$827M cumulative net loss, 1998 to Mar 2001

Raised more than $1.2 billion, built warehouses for millions of orders, and stopped delivering on a Monday in July 2001.

Groupon

2008 – present

Ghost
A fad that faded
−84% revenue, 2014 peak to 2025 (derived)

Still open, still listed, and a fraction of its former size. The daily deal that turned down Google now sells with about a seventh of the staff and under a third of the customers it had at its peak.

AOL

1985 – present

Ghost
Technology shift
26.7M U.S. subscribers at the September 2002 peak; 2.2M by 2014

It mailed America a free trial, charged $19.95 a month for the internet and used its share price to buy Time Warner. Broadband made the product unnecessary. The name is on its fifth owner.

Kozmo.com

1998 – 2001

Ghost
Unit economics
$26.4M lost in 1999, on $3.5M of sales

Orange-jacketed couriers brought New Yorkers a video and a pint of ice cream in under an hour, free, with no minimum. Its own IPO filing shows that in late 1999 delivery staff cost more per order than the order brought in.

eToys

1997 – 2001

Dead
Unit economics
$1.26 lost for every dollar of sales in the year to March 2000 (derived)

An Idealab start-up that sold toys online from 1997. Its IPO was valued at $7.78 billion at the first day’s close. It spent more on marketing than it took in gross profit, missed its last Christmas forecast by almost half, and shut down in March 2001.

theglobe.com

1995 – 2001

Ghost
Unit economics
606% first-day gain on November 13, 1998, then a record

Two Cornell students built a site for free home pages and chat. Its shares rose 606% on their first day of trading in 1998. Less than three years later the site was switched off.